Written by Petrean on March 9th, 2010
The subject of this post says it all. I did the piece of work below for an interview at Hawkpoint Wealth Management. The key of this subject is to predict large economic movements of supply of money that will impact inflation. In a nutshell, inflation is driven by the ‘volume’ of money that exists in an economy. Let me illustrate:
- because banks are failing and the economy is in recession, the government decided to pump ‘liquidity’ to kick start the economy
- the extra liquidity means that is there is more ‘cash’ in the economy than the latter actually produces (imagine if everybody in the UK received a 30% pay rise for the same amount of work produced)
- in turn, the increase in cash, decreases the value of the money and prices increase.. here you go: inflation!
Because of this quantitative easing (QE), there is no doubt that there WILL be inflation (some is kinda good) the question is HOW MUCH and WHEN. Well, that, in turns, depends on (1) how quickly the banks (principal recipient of QE) release the cash in the economy and (2) how quickly the UK economy grows to absorb that extra cash. A way round this is, of course, if the extra cash leaves the country
Now, the latest quarterly figures of the economy show an increase in trade deficit, which, on its own, means nothing. A trade deficit means that the country is importing more than it is exporting… i.e. not a great way to kick start the economy… imagine that instead of producing more ’stuff’, we just buy it from someone else… all the while more and more cash is being poured in the economy, see a problem there?
So, what can we do? well, have a look at the presentation
Is Inflation Going To Be A Problem ?
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Written by Petrean on December 31st, 2009
Spelling mistakes are an encumbrance everywhere: whether in daily life, printed media or, as is very common nowadays, on corporate websites. A professional corporation should have – by definition - a high standard of quality in everything they do (i.e. they should not screw up and big things and especially not on small things).
Now, take a corporation like Heartwood Wealth Management. The company (as its name suggests) is a wealth management company whose purpose is to manage investment portfolios for high net worth individuals (HNWI). Of all the HNWI I have met, one common denominator to them is: they are picky, especially with what they do with their money. This is quite understandable: they worked very hard (or not) to get their wealth and they want to make sure they don’t (excuse my expression) “piss it down the sink”. They would therefore seek out a company like Heartwood who has a demonstrated reputation for excellence and portfolio management. Of course, if I were to give my family wealth to a company, I would probably dig a little deeper and that’s where the cracks on that shiny armor appear: spelling mistakes. If my wealth manager cannot spell simple words, how can you be sure that the orders it will pass on your behalf are correct or that your portfolio has grown by 10% and not 1.0% in that quarterly report…
So into the heart of the subject now, here are the spelling mistakes I have come across on the Heartwood website:
- soltuions

- targetting

You can find many more on this website and other websites such as Newton’s (look for Feburary) and even larger corporations such as Barclays (search: compatability).
In conclusion, there is no excuse for these spelling mistakes, they look cheap and are very easy to spot and cheap to mend (there are many tools that will scan your whole website for them), so get cracking, and correct them all !!
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Written by Petrean on December 6th, 2009
I am part of the core team who organised the StartupWeekend in Paris. In all honesty, I was unsure how the event was going to turn out and, having been there since Saturday, I have to say: it’s amazing!
The teams that formed around ideas/problems/needs are just amazing!! They didn’t know each other on Friday evening when they arrived and they are now working together till 5am, having breakfast, debating on business plans…
The only downside to the event has been the lack of sponsorship from lots of early stage Venture Capital firms. We have and thank Sun, Orange, Mappy, Orkos, Altaïde, Metaboli, Planet-Work and La Cantine but all the venture capital firms that we contacted were not interested. I am failing to understand why, since hunting for new businesses and investing in them is their job – if I am mistaken, please correct me.
I can only find two explanations for this phenomenon: either the guys working in these VC firms are not passionate about VC to spend the weekend with entrepreneurs, in which case perhaps you should give me your job; or, the firms don’t have any money to invest, which is a poor argument sincewe asked for €500 upwards AND a lot of our sponsors and members of the jury paid for the entry ticket themselves – so back to point 1.
Despite this lack of enthusiasm from the financial world, the companies and ideas generated there are amazing and I invite you all to check out the live company presentation feed on Sunday evening (I will post the URL here and on twitter/facebook).
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Written by Petrean on October 20th, 2009
The journey of the rabbit started mid-August after the publication in ‘Les Echos’ (French financial newspaper) that the company behind the Nabaztags (Wifi Rabbits) – Violet – was going under. If you follow the French entrepreneurial scene, you will find that innovative companies are hard to come by; and successful innovative companies are even rarer. People who disagree should compare the age of the companies in the CAC40 vs SP500.
‘Because we don’t like to see Rabbits die’ or because we are slightly crazy, Franck and I decided to rescue the company by placing a bid for it. Unfortunately, none of us had or have the adequate funds so we decided to crowfund the bid.
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Written by Petrean on October 19th, 2009
Who said that products targeted at young children can also be used for grown-ups? Well apparently Iddoo and its Retrouve Doudou say so! In short a ‘Retrouve Doudou’ consists of two little devices: one that you attach to the kid’s security blanket, and one that you keep in a known location. The idea is twofolds:
- if the kid misplaces his/her security blanket at home, you can use the second ‘Retrouve Doudou’ to ping the first one. The first one will then emit noise, light up.
- if the kid misplaces his/her security blanket outside and you cannot ping it, there is a code on the back of the ‘Retrouve Doudou’ that allows the finder to get back in touch with the owner via the Iddoo website.
As it turns out (I chatted with the inventor/CEO at the ‘Salon Baby’ in Paris), he made a large proportion of his sales from…. adults (men) who consistently lose their keys!
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Posted in Investment | 1 Response »
Written by Petrean on October 11th, 2009
‘What makes a good investment?’ is a question that I have been asked a number of times and that I will try and answer in this short post. For a starter, I would like to differentiate between investment and speculation as defined by Ben Graham. The main difference between the two is risk. With speculation, you are making a bet on the future stock movement of a given company, for which you may or may not know anything about (high risk). With investment, you make a calculated analysis of the company’s growth prospect, irrespectively of its stock price (for a starter) (low risk c.f. below). Click to continue »
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Written by Petrean on September 17th, 2009
I came across the Wuiper whilst at La Cantine in Paris. The product was presented by a team of young entrepreneurs to a very attentive crowd. There are many ways to define what wuiper is:
- a round plastic disc with a sticky side
- a new way of communicating amongst people
- a shy guy’s way to a lady’s heart
However, since all good marketers know that a “product is what a product does”, let me describe to you a plausible situation. Imagine yourself walking down the street minding your own business, when you suddenly pass this wonderfully beautiful girl/man. You have the choice of either approaching him/her with the high and present risk of failure and looking ridiculous. Or, you can quickly text a message to the number on the wuiper and then launch it onto the girl/man (hence the sticky side). Later on, the object of your desire will find the wuiper inviting him/her to texting the wuiper’s number to retrieve your message. The beginning of a love story….
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Posted in Business, Investment | 1 Response »
Written by Petrean on September 1st, 2009
Like many young professionals, I needed a new suit and decided to go for a ‘made to measure’ one. I heard an advert for Suitopia on Spotify and decided to investigate. I had heard about online ‘made to measure’ suit making businesses like A Suit That Fits directly from Warren through the Collège des Ingénieurs, but found his prices a little too expensive for my budget. I also appreciated Suitopia’s ‘package’ deal where you get a reasonable suit for €165 without having to make decisions about what you want i.e. perfect for someone who just wants to get a suit and doesn’t mind how many pockets it has.
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Written by Petrean on August 6th, 2009
Le Noble Age is a company managing retirement homes for OAP in France. They are a new company who has been in operation for 4 years and clearly very successful.
You will find below calculations carried out on the 6th of August to determine whether Le Noble Age was a bargain trading at €14.7.
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Written by Petrean on June 26th, 2009
Bubbles are round, soapy and full of air… Economic bubbles are not soapy, nor round, nor full of air…. but full of cash !! Times of growth when liquidity is abundant and rates of return are high are prosperous for creating bubbles because why would an investor put money on a 4% savings account when you can invest, say in technology or real estate and get a 10-15-20% annual return!!!
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